Advertisement
Original article| Volume 20, 101259, March 2023

Download started.

Ok

Financial burden and coping strategies for cancer care in India

Open AccessPublished:February 23, 2023DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cegh.2023.101259

      Abstract

      Problem

      Globally 9.3 million deaths occurred due to cancer in 2018. Currently, India has 13.9 lakh cancer cases, which are estimated to increase by 12% by the year 2025. Treatment of cancer inflicts a heavy cost of care and may even impoverish households.

      Methods

      Using the national health survey data for 2017–18, this study estimates the burden of healthcare expenditure due to cancer and coping strategies to pay for treatment. Factors affecting the health care expenditure on cancer are examined using a two-part model.

      Finding

      The monthly values (in 2022 prices) of inpatient and outpatient OOPE on cancer for 2017-18, were found to be ₹6549 and ₹8811 implying that, 37% and 49% of household's monthly consumption expenditure was spent on inpatient and outpatient cancer care, respectively. Households relied on their own income/savings to pay for care and hardship financing was faced even by the higher income quintile patients both for inpatient and outpatient care. The second richest quintile had the greatest odds of borrowing money (0.94[0.54–1.63]).The two-part model shows that the likelihood of incurring expenditure on cancer care is greater at higher age-groups and income quintiles and is lower for females and people seeking care at private facilities. However, the mean expenditure is higher for those using private facilities or belonging to richer quintiles and is lower in urban areas.

      Conclusion

      There is a need for policies to impart financial protection and expand the screening and curative services for cancer, with an assured quality in the public sector to ameliorate the financial burden of cancer care among households in India.

      Keywords

      What we already know

      • Incidence of cancer is on the rise in India
      • Cancer is associated with a high cost of care
      • In India, cancer care is associated with high out-of-pocket expenditure (OOPE)

      What this paper adds

      • Mean monthly OOPE per episode is estimated at ₹6549 for inpatient care and ₹8811 for outpatient care
      • While OOPE is greater for richer quintiles, the health care burden is greater for poorer quintiles
      • Using two-part model for inpatient care, it is found that the likelihood of having cancer related inpatient expenditure is lower for those seeking care at private facilities but the mean expenditure is greater at these facilities.
      • In the absence of any pre-payment support, 92% expenditure on outpatient care is incurred by patients out of their own income at the point of service.

      1. Introduction

      Cancer causes 9.3 million deaths every year and was the second leading cause of all NCD (non-communicable diseases) related deaths in the world according to World Health Organization in 2018. Global cancer rates are expected to rise by 60% over the next 20 years, especially in low-middle income countries.

      Hofmarcher, Thomas, Peter Lindgren, Nils Wilking, and Bengt Jönsson. The Cost of Cancer in Europe 2018. vol. 129. Oxford, England: European journal of cancer; 1990:41–49. 2020 Apr 1.

      Around half of all the new cases and around 55% of deaths due to cancer in the world occur in Asia alone.
      • Ng C.J.
      • Teo C.H.
      • Abdullah N.
      • Tan W.P.
      • Tan H.M.
      Relationships between cancer pattern, country income and geographical region in Asia.
      The high disease burden of cancer is also accompanied by a high economic burden. The annual economic cost of cancer was estimated at US$ 1.16 trillion in 2010, globally,

      International Cancer Control Partenership The economics of cancer prevention & control data digest. 2014. https://www.iccp-portal.org/system/files/resources/WCLS2014_economics_of_cancer_FINAL-2.pdf Accessed June 2022.

      and €199 billion in 2018 in Europe.

      Hofmarcher, Thomas, Peter Lindgren, Nils Wilking, and Bengt Jönsson. The Cost of Cancer in Europe 2018. vol. 129. Oxford, England: European journal of cancer; 1990:41–49. 2020 Apr 1.

      The average health care expenditure per person with cancer is four times ($16346) higher than those without cancer in USA.
      • Park J
      • Look KA
      Health Care Expenditure Burden of Cancer Care in the United States.
      Cancer-affected households have much higher out-of-pocket expenditure (OOPE) and economic burden compared to non-affected households,
      • Pallegedara A
      Impacts of chronic non-communicable diseases on households’ out-of-pocket healthcare expenditures in Sri Lanka.
      • Mahal A.
      • Karan A.
      • Fan V.Y.
      • Engelgau M.
      The economic burden of cancers on Indian households.
      • Chauhan A.S.
      • Prinja S.
      • Ghoshal S.
      • Verma R.
      • Oinam A.S.
      Cost of treatment for head and neck cancer in India.
      • Goyanka R.
      Economic and non-economic burden of cancer: a propensity score matched analysis using household health survey data of India.
      leading to impoverishment and catastrophic expenditure

      Hamid, Syed Abdul, Syed M. Ahsan, and Afroza Begum. "Disease-specific impoverishment impact of out-of-pocket payments for health care: evidence from rural Bangladesh." Applied health economics and health policy 12 (2014): 421-433.

      • Hoang V.M.
      • Pham C.P.
      • Vu Q.M.
      • et al.
      Household financial burden and poverty impacts of cancer treatment in Vietnam.
      • Kastor Anshul
      • Sanjay K. Mohanty
      Disease-specific out-of-pocket and catastrophic health expenditure on hospitalization in India: do Indian households face distress health financing?.
      and treatment non-adherence.
      • Kevin Lu Z.
      • Xiong X.
      • Brown J.
      • et al.
      Impact of cost-related medication nonadherence on economic burdens, productivity loss, and functional abilities: management of cancer survivors in medicare background.
      With increasing life expectancy and reduction in the age of onset of cancer, the lifetime spent with cancer-related disability has also increased over the years.
      Incidence of cancer is on the rise in India. Currently there are 13.9 lakh cases that are expected to grow by 12% by the year 2025.
      Report of national cancer registry programme.
      Females have a greater burden of cervical, breast and colorectal cancers while the burden of oral, stomach and oesophagus cancers is higher among males.
      Report of national cancer registry programme.
      These types of cancers are associated with lower levels of physical activity and socio-economic and nutritional status.
      • Nielsen D.
      • Dombernowsky P.
      • Larsen S.K.
      • Hansen O.P.
      • Skovsgaard T.
      Epirubicin or epirubicin and cisplatin as first-line therapy in advanced breast cancer. A phase III study.
      ,
      • Neal R.D.
      • Hussain-Gambles M.
      • Allgar V.L.
      • Lawlor D.A.
      • Dempsey O.
      ,
      • Toyoda Y.
      • Tabuchi T.
      • Hama H.
      • Morishima T.
      • Miyashiro I.
      Trends in clinical stage distribution and screening detection of cancer in Osaka, Japan: stomach, colorectum, lung, breast and cervix.
      Non-medical costs on food, transportation and lodging by the patients (since cancer treatment facilities have a poor geographical dispersion), and time spent by caregivers, and productivity and earning loss due to cancer-related disability exacerbate the cost of care in India.
      • Dinesh T.A.
      • Nair P.
      • Abhijath V.
      • Jha V.
      • Aarthy K.
      Economics of cancer care: a community-based cross-sectional study in Kerala, India.
      ,
      • Mohanti BK
      • Mukhopadhyay A.
      • Das S.
      • Sharma K.
      • Dash S.
      Estimating the Economic Burden of Cancer at a Tertiary Public Hospital: A Study at the All India Institute of Medical Sciences.
      Depending on the period of study, type of cancer, and components of cost, estimates of cost of care, range from an OOPE of ₹36,812 in 2006–2007 for all cancer types to ₹ 37,485 in 2014–2015,

      Abhiroop Mukhopadhyay, Bidhu Kalyan Mohanty, Kuldeep Sharma, Sanghamitra Das Soumitra Das, The Economic Burden of Cancer. Econ Polit Wkly. Vol. 46, Issue No. 43, 22 Oct, 2011.

      for head-and-neck cancer,
      • Chauhan A.S.
      • Prinja S.
      • Ghoshal S.
      • Verma R.
      • Oinam A.S.
      Cost of treatment for head and neck cancer in India.
      and US$357 per episode of hospitalization in 2014.

      Tripathy, J. P., B. M. Prasad, H. D. Shewade, A. M. V. Kumar, R. Zachariah, S. Chadha, J. Tonsing, and A. D. Harries. "Cost of hospitalisation for non‐communicable diseases in India: are we pro‐poor?." Tropical medicine & international health 21, no. 8 (2016): 1019-1028.Jp T., Bm P., Hd S., et al. Cost of hospitalisation for non-communicable diseases in India: are we pro-poor? Trop Med Int Health : TM & IH. 2016 Aug 1;21(8):1019–1028.

      In 2017–18, the mean OOPE for cancer exceeded by ₹2895 and ₹52393 for outpatient and inpatient care respectively, compared to other chronic diseases. and average expenditure in private facilities was two times that in public facilities.
      • Kevin Lu Z.
      • Xiong X.
      • Brown J.
      • et al.
      Impact of cost-related medication nonadherence on economic burdens, productivity loss, and functional abilities: management of cancer survivors in medicare background.
      Most of this expenditure is incurred out-of-pocket and may cause impoverishment.
      Report of national cancer registry programme.
      ,
      • Nielsen D.
      • Dombernowsky P.
      • Larsen S.K.
      • Hansen O.P.
      • Skovsgaard T.
      Epirubicin or epirubicin and cisplatin as first-line therapy in advanced breast cancer. A phase III study.
      With the growing incidence of cancer and use of more sophisticated and high-cost treatment methods, there is an urgent need for policy makers to design suitable strategies to reduce OOPE on the disease. Using the recent national data, this study estimates the mean OOPE and financial burden due to hospitalized and outpatient care for cancer. Coping strategies used by households to pay for this expenditure have also been analysed. Two-part model has been used to study the mean OOPE on cancer. Two-part model (2PM) is a suitable methodology since the data come from cross-section household survey and have a large number of respondents with zero OOPE on cancer. . The methodology enables to separately estimate the probability of non-zero expenditure and mean value of expenditure conditional on expenditure being positive.

      2. Methods

      2.1 Data

      The data is from National Sample Survey (NSS) 75th round - ‘Social Consumption: Health’, July 2017–June 2018, that surveyed 5,55,115 individuals. The data is nationally representative and collects information on socio-demographic characteristics, morbidity and health care utilization and expenditure of the respondents. The reference period for inpatient expenditure is last 365 days and for outpatient expenditure is last 15 days. Detailed survey methodology is contained in the NSS Report.
      Government of India
      The number of persons reporting inpatient and outpatient care for cancer in the data is 1153 and 399 respectively with 1606 and 400 episodes respectively; while the total number of episodes for inpatient expenditure and utilization are 93925 while that for outpatient are 43240.
      Government of India

      2.2 Outcome variables

      2.2.1 Out-of-pocket expenditure (OOPE)

      OOPE included the reported medical and non-medical costs of care after deducting any reimbursements. To account for the different reference periods for inpatient and outpatient care, all expenditures were converted to monthly values,
      • Yadav J.
      • Menon G.R.
      • John D.
      Disease-Specific out-of-pocket payments, catastrophic health expenditure and impoverishment effects in India: an analysis of national health survey data.
      and the total monthly OOPE on cancer was estimated as the sum of monthly inpatient and outpatient OOPE. The NSS 75th round survey collects outpatients for the last 15 days and inpatients spending for last 365 days preceding the survey time. This was transformed to monthly OOPE by multiplying outpatient OOPE by a factor of 2 and division of inpatient OOPE by 12.
      • Yadav J.
      • Menon G.R.
      • John D.
      Disease-Specific out-of-pocket payments, catastrophic health expenditure and impoverishment effects in India: an analysis of national health survey data.
      Since the data pertain to the year 2017–18, they were indexed to current (for the year 2022) prices using the Consumer Price Index
      State Level Consumer Price Index
      (Rural/Urban) upto August 2018 | open government data (OGD) platform India.
      ,
      • Bajwala V.R.
      • John D.
      • Rajasekar T.D.
      • Murhekar M.V.
      Severity and costs associated with hospitalization for dengue in public and private hospitals of Surat city, Gujarat, India.
      in the following manner:
      OOPEinDecember2022=ConsumerpriceindexforDecember2022av.consumerpriceindexofDecember,2017andJanuary,2018*OOPEin201718


      2.2.2 Health care expenditure burden due to treatment on cancer

      The burden of healthcare expenditure on cancer was estimated as the share of total monthly OOPE in the total monthly consumption expenditure of households (MPCE).
      • Yadav J.
      • Menon G.R.
      • John D.
      Disease-Specific out-of-pocket payments, catastrophic health expenditure and impoverishment effects in India: an analysis of national health survey data.
      ,

      Mitra S, Findley PA, Rd EF, Hall D.Department of Economics Fordham University. Healthcare Expenditures of Living With a Disability : Total Expenditures , Out of Pocket Expenses and Burden , 1996-2004. Discussion Paper No : 2008-18, September 2008.

      ,
      • Sahoo A.K.
      • Madheswaran S.
      Socio-economic disparities in health care seeking behaviour, health expenditure and its source of financing in Orissa.
      ,
      • Yadav J.
      • Allarakha S.
      • Menon G.R.
      • John D.
      • Nair S.
      Socioeconomic impact of hospitalization expenditure for treatment of noncommunicable diseases in India: a repeated cross-sectional analysis of national sample survey data, 2004 to 2018.
      HealthCareExpenditureBurden=MonthlyHealthCareExpenditureonCancerpatientsHouseholdMonthlyConsumptionExpenditure*100


      2.2.3 Financial coping strategies and hardship financing

      To incur OOPE, financial coping strategies used by households to pay for OOPE were: their own income/savings; borrowings; sale of physical assets; contributions from friends and relatives; and any other source. A household was considered to be incurring hardship financing if it had to borrow money or sell assets to undertake OOPE.
      • Yadav J.
      • John D.
      • Menon G.
      Out of pocket expenditure on tuberculosis in India: do households face hardship financing?.
      -
      • John D.
      • Kumar V.
      Exposure to hardship financing for healthcare among rural poor in Chhattisgarh, India.

      2.3 Predictor variables

      Socioeconomic variables at individual, household, and community-level were used as predictors of OOPE.
      • Chakrabarty J.
      • Pai M.S.
      • Ranjith V.K.
      • Fernandes D.
      Economic burden of cancer in India.
      ,
      • Rajpal S.
      • Kumar A.
      • Joe W.
      Economic burden of cancer in India: evidence from cross-sectional nationally representative household survey, 2014.
      ,
      • Dinesh TA
      • Nair P
      • Abhijath V
      • Jha V
      • Aarthy K
      Economics of cancer care: A community-based cross-sectional study in Kerala, India.
      ,
      Government of India
      ,
      • Goyanka R.
      Economic and non-economic burden of cancer: a propensity score matched analysis using household health survey data of India.
      The description of predictor variables is contained in supplementary Table S1.

      2.4 Statistical modelling

      Descriptive analysis was used to assess the overall burden due to cancer. Differences in HCB across population sub-groups were analysed using bivariate analysis. Association between socio-economic factors and OOPE on cancer was uncovered using Two-part regression model. Given the data with a large fraction of respondents reporting zero health expenditures on cancer, two-part model is an appropriate estimation method. This method considers that mean OOPE is based upon a mixture of two factors: factors that determine the occurence of a positive OOPE and factors that determine the value and density of positive OOPE
      • Deb P
      • Norton EC
      • Manning WL
      ,
      • Ladusingh L.
      • Mohanty S.K.
      • ThangjamM
      Triple burden of disease and out of pocket healthcare expenditure of women in India.
      The first part of the model enables to estimate the probability of a person incurring OOPE on cancer in the entire sample the second part of allows to estimate the conditional mean value of OOPE. The first part was estimated using a logit regression model. and log-linear regression model was used for the second part.
      • Deb Partha
      • Edward C. Norton
      Modeling health care expenditures and use.
      The model therefore allows for separate investigation of the effect of factors on the likelihood of incurring OOPE on cancer and the effect of the factors associated with the mean value of OOPE on cancer, as below:
      Part 1: Prob (Yi > 0) * exp (βX)/ (1+ exp (βX))


      Part 2: E (Yi|X) = Prob (Yi > 0) E (Yi|X; Yi| > 0)
      0)


      To account for the survey design SVY command was used
      • Graubard B.
      • Korn E.
      Simultaneous testing of regression coefficients with complex survey data: use of bonferroni t statistics.
      in STATA 13.1.
      StataCorp
      Stata statistical software: release 13.
      The likelihood of experiencing financial hardship was analysed using logit regression.

      3. Results

      3.1 Socio-economic characteristics of cancer patients

      Most individuals suffering from cancer belong to the age group of 36–59 years (Supplementary Table S2). More than half of the inpatients and outpatients were females (54%, 53%) or rural residents (55%, 52%) and highest proportion of patients belonged to upper quintiles of living standard. Greater proportion of patients sought care at private facilities for both hospitalized and non-hospitalized services.

      3.2 Monthly out of pocket expenditure (OOPE) and health care expenditure burden due to cancer

      The mean value of monthly OOPE per episode is ₹6549 for inpatient care and ₹8811 for outpatient care (Table 1). Persons aged 60 years and above have the highest OOPE for both inpatient and outpatient care. OOPE for inpatients and outpatient care was also higher among males (₹6069 - ₹9293) compared to females (₹5030- ₹7947). While OOPE on hospitalization was higher for richer MPCE quintiles, the monthly HCB burden was lower for these quintiles. Outpatient visits for second lowest quintile had a burden of 119% due to cancer. HCB is higher among people in rural areas (inpatient 41.9%, outpatient: 55.4%) compared to urban areas; and for those who visit private hospitals (inpatient: 57.8, outpatient: 62.7%) compared to public hospitals. Southern and north-eastern regions of India had the highest health care burden due to outpatient visits for cancer.
      Table 1Per episode monthly OOPE and Health Care expenditure Burden due to cancer by socioeconomic characteristics and types of healthcare facilities.
      Source: Authors’ estimates
      Socioeconomic characteristicsInpatientOutpatient
      OOPE (in ₹)MCE (in ₹)HCB (%)OOPE (in ₹)MCE (in ₹)HCB (%)
      Age (in years)
      0–1456171563735.969021350951.1
      15–3552911663031.876821654246.4
      36–5963111448643.679781549751.5
      60 and above72192205832.7101562187546.4
      Education
      Illiterate43641303033.571701387551.7
      Up to Primary39271901320.798481577862.4
      Middle92681448564.080731985940.6
      Secondary and above69442082033.493782272541.3
      Gender
      Male60691944331.292931873749.6
      Female50301555032.379471732445.9
      Religion
      Hindu54451761330.994551744054.2
      Muslim51401557933.038481935219.9
      Others77961989539.2129002113461.0
      Caste
      ST26361132623.316901051416.1
      SC42261943521.771581717241.7
      OBC48251512431.9104701635664.0
      Others79761948640.989562046343.8
      MPCE quintile
      Poorest3774730751.62312860826.9
      Poorer4442976245.5116599776119.3
      Middle44161275934.653831162046.3
      Richer48261537331.497771419468.9
      Richest75712787827.2103952753037.8
      Place of residence
      Rural65591565741.990911640555.4
      Urban65322051331.883922066140.6
      Type of healthcare facility visited
      Public26071764414.8113461810462.7
      Private99261718657.863901819835.1
      Region
      North54542616320.8116972402348.7
      Central63721919833.282471755447.0
      East70541171360.252321858328.2
      Northeast111052117452.4148282023773.3
      West27851257522.167761250054.2
      South98341643159.8171441847092.8
      Total65491749537.488111810348.7
      OOPE= Out of pocket expenditure; MCE = Monthly Consumption Expenditure.
      Health Care Burden = [Average monthly out of pocket expenditure (in ₹)/Average Monthly Consumption Expenditure (in ₹')] *100.

      3.3 Factors affecting inpatient OOPE using two-part model

      3.3.1 Inpatient

      The logit regression (first part) shows that the likelihood of having non-zero healthcare expenditure on cancer increases with age and falls with higher education (Table 2). It is greater for females and richer quintiles, and lower for those living in urban regions and seeking care at private facilities.
      Table 2Two-part model estimates of factors affecting the health care expenditure on cancer for hospitalized care and outpatient care.
      Source: Authors' estimates
      Socioeconomic characteristics and type of health facility visitedhospitalized care
      Logit regression model (Part-1)Log-linear regression model (Part-2)Delta-methodLogit regression model (Part-1)Log-linear regression model (Part-1)Delta-method
      ββdy/dxββ95% CIdy/dx
      Age (in years)
      0-14 ®
      15–351.04[0.46–1.63]−0.20[-0.99-0.59]27.84[-0.15-55.83]1.49[0.42–2.57]0.01[-1.21-1.23]11.89[-6.75-30.53]
      36–592.41[1.85–2.97]−0.06[-0.80-0.67]194.39[143.75–245.02]2.73[1.79–3.66]0.35[-0.4-1.11]70.12[30.55–109.7]
      60 and above2.76[2.19–3.33]−0.11[-0.86-0.63]265.84[178.56–353.12]2.93[1.89–3.96]0.84[0.05–1.64]142.67[36.94–248.4]
      Education
      Illiterate ®
      Up to Primary0.77[0.43–1.11]0.02[-0.31-0.34]107.81[32.09–183.53]0.19[-0.60-0.98]−0.08[-0.77-0.61]6.23[-55.34-67.79]
      Middle0.42[0.10–0.74]−0.15[-0.56-0.27]28.79[-30.49-88.07]0.7[-0.45-1.86]−0.36[-0.94-0.22]21.82[-69.25-112.89]
      Secondary and above0.61[0.33–0.89]0.09[-0.28-0.45]91.11[26.78–155.44]0.4[-0.35-1.16]0[-0.56-0.56]27.21[-37.67-92.10]
      Gender
      Male ®
      Female0.12[-0.09-0.32]−0.3[-0.540.05]−28.37[-77.36-20.62]−0.29[-0.79-0.20]−0.35[-0.81-0.1]−43.24[-92.34-5.86]
      Religion
      Hindu ®
      Muslim0.21[-0.09-0.51]−0.18[-0.57-0.20]2.88[-74.54-80.29]0.43[-0.54-1.41]−0.77[-1.33-0.22]−22.47[-85.70-40.76]
      Others−0.28[-0.64-0.08]0.1[-0.41-0.61]−24.36[-108.83-60.12]−0.19[-0.80-0.42]−0.18[-0.74-0.37]−23.65[-74.09-26.79]
      Caste
      ST ®
      SC0.11[-0.82-1.04]0.62[0.13–1.12]159.32[-28.15-346.8]−0.07[-1.90-1.77]1.4[0.03–2.77]41.4[-18.69-101.48]
      OBC−0.63[-1.57-0.30]0.53[0.07–0.99]−10.94[-159.24-137.35]−0.82[-2.68-1.05]2.23[0.99–3.48]47.24[-08.02-102.5]
      Others−0.62[-1.50-0.26]0.44[-0.07-0.96]−20.77[-166.18-124.64]−0.26[-1.99-1.47]2.05[0.73–3.37]74.92[13.94–135.89]
      MPCE quintile
      Poorest ®
      2nd Poorest0.48[0.14–0.81]−0.15[-0.65-0.34]20.01[-18.62-58.65]0.3[-0.41-1.02]0.69[-0.43-1.81]14.01[-4.64-32.66]
      Middle0.08[-0.27-0.44]0.28[-0.18-0.74]23.95[-13.69-61.59]1.24[0.39–2.10]0.74[-0.33-1.81]50.77[10.43–91.11]
      2nd Richest0.56[0.16–0.95]0.61[0.19–1.03]118.19[57.64–178.74]1.24[0.42–2.06]0.51[-0.64-1.66]38.43[1.32–75.53]
      Richest0.81[0.35–1.26]0.88[0.45–1.31]234.47[127.96–340.98]1.95[1-20-0.91]0.86[-0.23-1.95]126.22[29.6–222.85]
      Place of residence
      Rural ®
      Urban−0.21[-0.55-0.13]−0.3[-0.54-.06]−81.34[-154.767.91]−0.42[-1.18-0.34]−0.38[-0.81-0.05]−60.54[-146.59-25.51]
      Type of health facility visited
      Public ®
      Private−0.3[-0.530.06]1.48[1.25–1.71]156.52[109.7–203.34]−0.77[-1.35-0.20]0.46[0.11–0.81]−21.65[-73.7-30.4]
      Region
      North ®
      Central−0.54[-0.90-0.18]−0.08[-0.40-0.24]−114.52[-219-839.21]−0.45[-1.16-0.25]−0.04[-0.74-0.66]−34.48[-118.06-49.1]
      East−0.27[-0.63-0.09]−0.07[-0.47-0.33]−70.47[-189.33-48.38]0.05[-0.94-1.04]−0.37[-1.15-0.42]−24.08[-123.52-75.35]
      Northeast−1.52[-2.06-0.98]0.88[0.42–1.34]−115.03[-240.92-10.86]0.85[-0.53-2.22]0.81[-0.56-2.18]369.17[-425.59-1163.93]
      West−0.62[-1.08-0.15]−1.14[-1.520.75]−210.13[-309.82110.43]−0.16[-1.00-0.69]−1.08[-1.950.22]−63.14[-146.95-20.67]
      South−0.49[-0.84-0.14]0.29[-0.09-0.67]−42.64[-162.25-76.98]−0.48[-1.21-0.25]0.01[-0.83-0.83]−34.07[-121.5-53.35]
      *figures in brackets indicate 95% confidence interval; ® = reference category.
      The results of the second part show higher mean expenditure at private facilities, richer quintiles, western and southern states and lower mean expenditure in urban areas, for inpatient care. The margin effects show (Table 2) greatest increase in expenditure for the highest age group, lower education level (those up-to primary schooling), and among the richest quintile. There is a decrease in expenditure for females compared to males and in urban regions compared to rural regions. The expenditure in private facilities is greater than in public facilities.

      3.3.2 Outpatient

      The first part shows that the likelihood of having healthcare expenditure on cancer increases with age and higher income quintiles is lower for females, urban regions and people seeking care at private facilities (Table 2).
      Estimates of the Log linear model (second part) show higher mean expenditure at private facilities, richer quintiles, and lower mean expenditure in urban areas. The margin effects (Table 2) show greatest increase in expenditure for the highest age group, richest quintile and highest education level. A reduction in expenditure on females compared to males, in urban areas compared to rural areas and private facilities compared to public facilities.

      3.4 Financial coping strategies and hardship financing

      Table 3 shows 92% OOPE on outpatient care is incurred by patients out of their own income. For inpatient care, 71.7% individuals reported using their income and 17% individuals had to borrow money to pay for OOPE. 21% individuals among illiterate category; 19.5% of the rural residents and 12.9% of the urban residents borrowed money for expenditure on hospitalization due to cancer. By types of facilities, 81% individuals visiting public hospitals used their savings to pay for care and 21.5% of those visiting private hospitals had to resort to borrowings. 4% persons reported sale of physical assets to meet the need for hospitalized care in a private hospital. Individuals belonging to second poorest (16.9%) and poorest (15.8%) consumption expenditure quintile reported reliance on borrowings for seeking outpatient care.
      Table 3Source and hardship financing on cancer by patient characteristics.
      Source: Authors' estimates
      Socioeconomic characteristics and type of health facility visitedInpatientOutpatient
      household income/savingsBorrowingsSale of physical assetsContributions from friends and relativesOther sourcesOdds ratio for hardship financing
      Figures in brackets indicate 95% confidence interval, ® = reference category.
      household income/savingsBorrowingsSale of physical assetsContributions from friends and relativesOthers sourcesOdds ratio for hardship financing
      Figures in brackets indicate 95% confidence interval, ® = reference category.
      Age (in years)
      0–1471.17.10.021.80.0®91.58.60.00.00.0®
      15–3579.713.33.30.63.13.09[0.97–9.83]93.64.10.00.91.50.75[0.05–11.99]
      36–5965.423.02.28.01.43.23[1.13–9.3]88.88.60.41.90.30.86[0.08–9.01]
      60 and above77.710.43.43.94.71.65[0.56–4.8]95.10.80.02.41.60.16[0.01–2.29]
      Education
      Illiterate66.920.92.26.43.5®90.16.80.51.21.4®
      Up to Primary84.58.51.14.21.70.59[0.37–0.93]93.43.90.02.70.00.94[0.27–3.32]
      Middle63.013.40.020.82.80.52[0.29–0.91]92.23.50.03.11.31.12[0.29–4.4]
      Secondary and above79.510.92.91.94.80.51[0.32–0.83]93.33.90.21.61.11.28[0.35–4.64]
      Gender
      Male75.413.31.26.04.1®91.15.00.02.81.2®
      Female76.812.52.36.22.20.85[0.61–1.2]93.74.10.51.00.70.9[0.38–2.11]
      Religion
      Hindu77.211.72.05.93.2®91.05.60.12.60.8®
      Muslim78.711.60.77.21.90.96[0.58–1.58]96.80.20.70.71.70.48[0.09–2.57]
      Others55.731.30.36.95.82.27[1.29–4]93.16.10.00.00.80.92[0.18–4.83]
      Caste
      ST87.98.50.23.30.1®92.75.90.01.20.2®
      SC73.913.42.97.02.91.12[0.53–2.35]89.88.90.01.40.00.55[0.08–3.96]
      OBC73.515.30.46.44.40.79[0.39–1.6]89.44.90.53.71.60.33[0.04–2.51]
      Others78.310.82.55.62.80.87[0.42–1.8]94.72.60.11.51.10.18[0.02–1.55]
      MPCE quintile
      Poorest67.919.50.70.411.6®74.916.90.06.91.4®
      2nd Poorest76.310.94.47.01.50.74[0.42–1.32]71.715.80.010.91.60.61[0.13–2.91]
      Middle74.516.60.17.01.80.71[0.39–1.28]97.11.00.60.01.30.4[0.08–2.16]
      2nd Richest68.917.01.89.43.00.94[0.54–1.63]92.84.50.30.71.71.11[0.23–5.33]
      Richest83.77.91.34.92.20.44[0.24–0.81]96.02.70.01.20.20.39[0.07–2.14]
      Place of residence
      Rural69.019.31.97.22.7®91.94.90.22.30.7®
      Urban76.112.94.13.93.00.96[0.66–1.4]92.05.00.21.61.20.51[0.19–1.4]
      Type of health facility visited
      Public81.211.71.14.41.6®92.45.00.40.91.4®
      Private63.221.54.37.43.71.22[0.87–1.71]91.54.90.03.00.60.52[0.21–1.28]
      Region
      North79.416.01.91.31.4®93.74.60.40.50.8®
      Central77.610.61.09.41.40.66[0.4–1.1]91.64.60.03.80.00.82[0.22–3.1]
      East73.514.41.77.43.00.57[0.35–0.94]94.04.70.50.50.42.27[0.61–8.44]
      Northeast81.56.97.33.90.30.42[0.18–0.98]99.90.00.00.00.11[0.00]
      West72.513.02.23.68.70.82[0.48–1.42]91.24.20.01.53.10.49[0.1–2.35]
      South53.631.16.87.01.50.58[0.33–1.01]83.29.60.06.11.10.71[0.17–2.89]
      Total71.716.92.75.92.892.04.90.22.00.9
      a Figures in brackets indicate 95% confidence interval, ® = reference category.

      3.5 Factors associated with hardship financing

      The logit regression shows that the odds of facing hardship financing for hospitalized treatment are three times for patients in the age group 36–59 years (OR - 3.23, CI: 1.13–9.30) compared to the reference category (Table 3). Education level of patient has a negative association with hardship financing for both inpatient and outpatient care. Females are 15% and 10% less likely to face hardship financing in inpatient and outpatient care, respectively, compared to males. Cancer patients in the middle consumption quintile are 11% more likely to experience hardship financing for outpatient care compared to the poorest quintile. Inpatient care at private hospitals has a 22% higher likelihood of financing hardship. Compared to rural patients, urban patients are 4% less likely to face financing hardship for hospitalized services and 50% less likely for outpatient care.

      4. Discussion

      The prevalence of cancer is rising and it is disturbing that 50% of the total cancer cases were reported in the young age group of 36–59 years. Highest percentages of inpatient and outpatient care for cancer were reported in the richest consumption expenditure quintile and among persons with higher education category. This could indicate poor awareness and low utilization of health care for the disease among poorer and less educated sections of the population. There is a need to focus on IEC (information, education and communication) activities for cancer care and self-examination by patients for early symptoms of cancer.
      • Khanna D.
      • Chandrahas Khargekar N.
      • Khanna A.K.
      Implementation of early detection services for cancer in India during COVID-19 pandemic.
      The financial burden of cancer as gauged by OOPE and HCB is acute. The mean monthly OOPE per cancer patient in the household was estimated at ₹6549 for inpatient care and ₹8811 for outpatient care. Geriatric population was found to be the most vulnerable to financial burden as it had the highest OOPE for both inpatient and outpatient care (₹7219, ₹10156). OOPE for inpatients and outpatient care was higher among males (₹6069, ₹9293) compared to females (₹5030, ₹7947). HCB for cancer households ranged from 37% to 49% for inpatient and outpatient care, implying that a cancer household spent about half of its income on cancer treatment. This burden was even greater for poorer quintiles, which faced double distress in terms of lower healthcare utilization and greater healthcare burden as indicated by lower OOPE and higher HCB. HCB for the second poorest quintile was estimated to be the highest at 119%. Our results are comparable with other studies
      • Goyanka R.
      Economic and non-economic burden of cancer: a propensity score matched analysis using household health survey data of India.
      ,
      • Kevin Lu Z.
      • Xiong X.
      • Brown J.
      • et al.
      Impact of cost-related medication nonadherence on economic burdens, productivity loss, and functional abilities: management of cancer survivors in medicare background.
      and show that the OOPE on cancer has increased from 2014 to 2017–18.
      For both inpatient and outpatient care, HCB was higher among rural population (41.9%–55.4%), in contrast to urban population; and for those visiting private hospitals (57.8%–62.7%) in comparison to public hospitals. Southern and north-eastern regions of India had the highest HCB for outpatient visits. The huge financial burden imposed by cancer is validated by other studies in India as well, that found high OOPE and income loss for cancer patients.
      Results from the Two-part regression model for hospitalized care, show that the likelihood of having any healthcare expenditure on cancer (first-part) increases with age, education, living standards and private health care facilities. The second part shows higher expected value of expenditure among people with only primary education, those visiting private facilities and those belonging to the richest quintile. In case of outpatient care, both, the likelihood of having any healthcare expenditure on cancer (first part) and the expected expenditure (second part) increase with age, education and living standards. For those living in urban areas and visiting private health facilities, the likelihood of expenditure and mean expenditure is lower.
      Long treatment protocols including a variety of therapies such as radiotherapy and chemotherapy and sophisticated diagnostics are the primary reasons for expensive cancer care. These expenses are accentuated by poor geographical dispersion of cancer treatment facilities, forcing patients to incur expenses on travel and boarding to seek care at specialist oncology facilities,
      • Grover S.
      • Gudi S.
      • Gandhi A.K.
      • et al.
      Radiation oncology in India: challenges and opportunities.
      ,
      • Singh Mayank
      • Chandra Prakash Prasad
      • Thoudam Debraj Singh
      • Lalit Kumar
      Cancer research in India: Challenges & opportunities.
      and the financial burden of this expenditure is high due to the absence of any prepayment and risk-pooling mechanisms.
      Financial hardship is also reflected in the strategies used to pay for treatment. This study found that for inpatient and outpatient care, 72%–92% patients, had to rely on their own income/savings for incurring payments at the point of service in the absence of any prepayment support. It was also found that 22% patients had to borrow money or sell their assets for inpatient care. The largest proportion of individuals borrowing money belonged to the poorest quintile. In comparison to urban residents, the rural population had a greater need for borrowing money or selling assets for both inpatient and outpatient care. Illiterate persons had the greatest need to borrow money in contrast to the more educated ones. Financial hardship due to treatment of cancer at private facilities have been reported by other studies also.
      • Rajpal S.
      • Kumar A.
      • Joe W.
      Economic burden of cancer in India: evidence from cross-sectional nationally representative household survey, 2014.
      ,
      • Yadav J.
      • Allarakha S.
      • Menon G.R.
      • John D.
      • Nair S.
      Socioeconomic impact of hospitalization expenditure for treatment of noncommunicable diseases in India: a repeated cross-sectional analysis of national sample survey data, 2004 to 2018.
      At the time of the survey, the impact of Pradhan Mantri Jan Arogya Yojana (PM-JAY)
      Official Website Ayushman Bharat
      PMJAY | national health Authority.
      was still not felt, but it is hoped that the next round of data should show a lower financial burden for hospitalized care. However, insurance under PM-JAY is available only for hospitalized care with a limit of ₹ 500,000/-. A study
      • Chauhan A.S.
      • Prinja S.
      • Ghoshal S.
      • Verma R.
      • Oinam A.S.
      Cost of treatment for head and neck cancer in India.
      estimated the unit cost of radiotherapy to be ₹ 1,63,728 and a patient normally needs more than 15–20 such cycles. As a result, people seeking outpatient care and inpatient expenditures in excess of the insurance limit are still exposed to financial hardship. Targetted expenditure support schemes are needed for people suffering from cancer.
      It has been reported that almost 75% patients have advanced stages of the disease at the time of diagnosis.
      • Khanna D.
      • Chandrahas Khargekar N.
      • Khanna A.K.
      Implementation of early detection services for cancer in India during COVID-19 pandemic.
      Around 30%–50% of cancers are preventable by avoiding risk factors, early detection and timely quality treatment. Focus on prevention and early screening for the disease is needed for timely detection and treatment, to attain better outcomes and reduce the cost of care. The recent transition from selective to comprehensive primary health care in the public sector should be used as an opportunity to introduce screening protocols at primary health centres for common cancers to facilitate early detection.
      High OOPE and HCB, greater utilization of private facilities, delayed diagnosis, expensive treatment protocols and inequities in access to cancer care point to an urgent need for greater public investment in cancer care and policies to provide for financial protection for the disease treatment.

      5. Strength of the study

      The strength of the present study is the use of large-scale cross-sectiondata from NSS 75th round which follows a uniform study design and offers generalizability to the study results. Many researchers and policy makers use this data for research and planning in India. The strength of the study also lies in the use of the Two-part model to explore the likelihood of incurring expenditure and the marginal expenditures across patients belonging to different socio-economic groups.
      • Rajpal S.
      • Kumar A.
      • Joe W.
      Economic burden of cancer in India: evidence from cross-sectional nationally representative household survey, 2014.

      6. Limitation of the study

      There are some limitations to the study. Data are based on household survey and may suffer from recall bias. Data do not contain information about the types of cancers and the expenditure during the entire course of treatment. Hence analyses could not be done according to types of cancer and severity of ailment.

      7. Conclusion

      The estimates of OOPE presented in the study are nationally representative and may be used as a guidance for designing reimbursement packages. Population based cancer registries are the key elements of a cancer control program through data collection and health policy implementation. Given that there are currently only there are only 38 such registries in the country and there is greater utilization of private facilities in comparison to public facilities, indicates low public expenditure on cancer care. There is a need to augment public expenditure for providing quality care at affordable costs.

      Consent to participate

      This study utilised secondary data from recent NSS 75th round survey which was based on the theme of ‘Social consumption: Health. The NSS obtained the ethical consensus from the review committee of the project while consent was taken from the respondents with dully undersigned, once he/she are agreed to participate in the study.

      Acknowledgement of financial support

      None.

      Ethical approval

      Not required.

      Funding

      Our study is based on self-determining research and it does not cover any source of funding

      Declaration of competing interest

      None declared.

      Acknowledgments

      The author acknowledges the National Sample Survey Organisation (NSSO), MOSPI, India, for data collection and providing us data for analysis.

      Appendix A. Supplementary data

      The following is the Supplementary data to this article.

      References

        • Noncommunicable diseases
        ([Internet]. [cited 2021 Jun 22]. Available from:)
      1. Hofmarcher, Thomas, Peter Lindgren, Nils Wilking, and Bengt Jönsson. The Cost of Cancer in Europe 2018. vol. 129. Oxford, England: European journal of cancer; 1990:41–49. 2020 Apr 1.

        • Ng C.J.
        • Teo C.H.
        • Abdullah N.
        • Tan W.P.
        • Tan H.M.
        Relationships between cancer pattern, country income and geographical region in Asia.
        BMC Cancer. 2015; 15 (15:1. 2015 Sep. 3): 1-9
      2. International Cancer Control Partenership The economics of cancer prevention & control data digest. 2014. https://www.iccp-portal.org/system/files/resources/WCLS2014_economics_of_cancer_FINAL-2.pdf Accessed June 2022.

        • Park J
        • Look KA
        Health Care Expenditure Burden of Cancer Care in the United States.
        Inquiry. 2019; (Jan-Dec;56)
        • Pallegedara A
        Impacts of chronic non-communicable diseases on households’ out-of-pocket healthcare expenditures in Sri Lanka.
        Int J Health Econ Manag. 2018 Sep 1; 18: 301-319
        • Mahal A.
        • Karan A.
        • Fan V.Y.
        • Engelgau M.
        The economic burden of cancers on Indian households.
        PLoS One. 2013 Aug 12; 8e71853
        • Chauhan A.S.
        • Prinja S.
        • Ghoshal S.
        • Verma R.
        • Oinam A.S.
        Cost of treatment for head and neck cancer in India.
        PLoS One. 2018 Jan 1; 13e0191132
        • Goyanka R.
        Economic and non-economic burden of cancer: a propensity score matched analysis using household health survey data of India.
        Cancer Res Stat Treat. 2021; 4: 29
      3. Hamid, Syed Abdul, Syed M. Ahsan, and Afroza Begum. "Disease-specific impoverishment impact of out-of-pocket payments for health care: evidence from rural Bangladesh." Applied health economics and health policy 12 (2014): 421-433.

        • Hoang V.M.
        • Pham C.P.
        • Vu Q.M.
        • et al.
        Household financial burden and poverty impacts of cancer treatment in Vietnam.
        BioMed Res Int. 2017; 2017
        • Kastor Anshul
        • Sanjay K. Mohanty
        Disease-specific out-of-pocket and catastrophic health expenditure on hospitalization in India: do Indian households face distress health financing?.
        PloS one. 2018; 13e0196106
        • Kevin Lu Z.
        • Xiong X.
        • Brown J.
        • et al.
        Impact of cost-related medication nonadherence on economic burdens, productivity loss, and functional abilities: management of cancer survivors in medicare background.
        Front Pharmacol. 2021; 12706289
      4. Report of national cancer registry programme.
        ([Internet]. [cited 2021 Jun 13]. Available from:)
        • Nielsen D.
        • Dombernowsky P.
        • Larsen S.K.
        • Hansen O.P.
        • Skovsgaard T.
        Epirubicin or epirubicin and cisplatin as first-line therapy in advanced breast cancer. A phase III study.
        Cancer Chemother Pharmacol. 2000; 46: 459-466
        • Neal R.D.
        • Hussain-Gambles M.
        • Allgar V.L.
        • Lawlor D.A.
        • Dempsey O.
        Reasons for and Consequences of Missed Appointments in General Practice in the UK: Questionnaire Survey and Prospective Review of Medical Records. vol. 6. BMC Family Practice. BioMed Central, 2005: 1-6
        • Toyoda Y.
        • Tabuchi T.
        • Hama H.
        • Morishima T.
        • Miyashiro I.
        Trends in clinical stage distribution and screening detection of cancer in Osaka, Japan: stomach, colorectum, lung, breast and cervix.
        PLoS One. 2020 Dec 1; 15e0244644
        • Dinesh T.A.
        • Nair P.
        • Abhijath V.
        • Jha V.
        • Aarthy K.
        Economics of cancer care: a community-based cross-sectional study in Kerala, India.
        S Asia J Cancer. 2020 Jan; 9: 7
        • Mohanti BK
        • Mukhopadhyay A.
        • Das S.
        • Sharma K.
        • Dash S.
        Estimating the Economic Burden of Cancer at a Tertiary Public Hospital: A Study at the All India Institute of Medical Sciences.
        Indian Statistical Institute, Planning Unit, New Delhi Discussion Papers, 2011
      5. Abhiroop Mukhopadhyay, Bidhu Kalyan Mohanty, Kuldeep Sharma, Sanghamitra Das Soumitra Das, The Economic Burden of Cancer. Econ Polit Wkly. Vol. 46, Issue No. 43, 22 Oct, 2011.

      6. Tripathy, J. P., B. M. Prasad, H. D. Shewade, A. M. V. Kumar, R. Zachariah, S. Chadha, J. Tonsing, and A. D. Harries. "Cost of hospitalisation for non‐communicable diseases in India: are we pro‐poor?." Tropical medicine & international health 21, no. 8 (2016): 1019-1028.Jp T., Bm P., Hd S., et al. Cost of hospitalisation for non-communicable diseases in India: are we pro-poor? Trop Med Int Health : TM & IH. 2016 Aug 1;21(8):1019–1028.

        • Government of India
        Key Indicators of Social Consumption in India: Health. vols. 1–99. National Sample Survey Organisation, 2019
        • Deb P
        • Norton EC
        • Manning WL
        Health Econometrics Using Stata. StataPress, 2017
        • Yadav J.
        • Menon G.R.
        • John D.
        Disease-Specific out-of-pocket payments, catastrophic health expenditure and impoverishment effects in India: an analysis of national health survey data.
        Appl Health Econ Health Pol. 2021 Sep 1; 19: 769-782
        • State Level Consumer Price Index
        (Rural/Urban) upto August 2018 | open government data (OGD) platform India.
        ([Internet]. [cited 2020 Apr 29]. Available from:)
        • Bajwala V.R.
        • John D.
        • Rajasekar T.D.
        • Murhekar M.V.
        Severity and costs associated with hospitalization for dengue in public and private hospitals of Surat city, Gujarat, India.
        Trans Roy Soc Trop Med Hyg. 2017–2018; 113 (2019 Nov 1): 661-669
      7. Mitra S, Findley PA, Rd EF, Hall D.Department of Economics Fordham University. Healthcare Expenditures of Living With a Disability : Total Expenditures , Out of Pocket Expenses and Burden , 1996-2004. Discussion Paper No : 2008-18, September 2008.

        • Sahoo A.K.
        • Madheswaran S.
        Socio-economic disparities in health care seeking behaviour, health expenditure and its source of financing in Orissa.
        J Health Manag. 2014 Sep 7; 16: 397-414
        • Yadav J.
        • Allarakha S.
        • Menon G.R.
        • John D.
        • Nair S.
        Socioeconomic impact of hospitalization expenditure for treatment of noncommunicable diseases in India: a repeated cross-sectional analysis of national sample survey data, 2004 to 2018.
        Value Health Reg Issues. 2021; 24: 199-213
        • Yadav J.
        • John D.
        • Menon G.
        Out of pocket expenditure on tuberculosis in India: do households face hardship financing?.
        Indian J Tubercul. 2019 Oct 1; 66: 448-460
        • John D.
        • Kumar V.
        Exposure to hardship financing for healthcare among rural poor in Chhattisgarh, India.
        J Health Manag. 2017; 19 (Sep. 13): 387-400
        • Chakrabarty J.
        • Pai M.S.
        • Ranjith V.K.
        • Fernandes D.
        Economic burden of cancer in India.
        Indian J Publ Health Res Dev. 2017; 8: 137-141
        • Rajpal S.
        • Kumar A.
        • Joe W.
        Economic burden of cancer in India: evidence from cross-sectional nationally representative household survey, 2014.
        PLoS One. 2018; 13 (Feb 1)
        • Dinesh TA
        • Nair P
        • Abhijath V
        • Jha V
        • Aarthy K
        Economics of cancer care: A community-based cross-sectional study in Kerala, India.
        South Asian J Cancer. 2020 Jan-Mar; 9: 7-12
        • Deb Partha
        • Edward C. Norton
        Modeling health care expenditures and use.
        Annual review of public health. 2018; 39: 489-505
        • Graubard B.
        • Korn E.
        Simultaneous testing of regression coefficients with complex survey data: use of bonferroni t statistics.
        in: RTI International. P.O. Box 12194. Research Triangle Park, NC1990 (27709-2194. Tel: 919-541-6000; e-mail: [email protected]; Web site:)
        • StataCorp
        Stata statistical software: release 13.
        (College Station, TX: StataCorp LP. - Open Access Library [Internet]. [cited 2020 Nov 18]. Available from:)
        • Khanna D.
        • Chandrahas Khargekar N.
        • Khanna A.K.
        Implementation of early detection services for cancer in India during COVID-19 pandemic.
        ([cited 2023 Jan 16]; Available from:)
        • Grover S.
        • Gudi S.
        • Gandhi A.K.
        • et al.
        Radiation oncology in India: challenges and opportunities.
        Semin Radiat Oncol. 2017; 27 (Apr 1): 158-163
        • Singh Mayank
        • Chandra Prakash Prasad
        • Thoudam Debraj Singh
        • Lalit Kumar
        Cancer research in India: Challenges & opportunities.
        The Indian journal of medical research. 2018; 148: 362
        • Rajpal S.
        • Kumar A.
        • Joe W.
        Economic burden of cancer in India: evidence from cross-sectional nationally representative household survey, 2014.
        PLoS One. 2018; 13 (Feb 1)
        • Official Website Ayushman Bharat
        PMJAY | national health Authority.
        ([Internet]. [cited 2021 Oct 10]. Available from:)
        • Cancer
        ([Internet]. [cited 2021 Jun 22]. Available from:)
        • Ladusingh L.
        • Mohanty S.K.
        • ThangjamM
        Triple burden of disease and out of pocket healthcare expenditure of women in India.
        PLoS One. 2018; 13e0196835https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0196835